I just came back home to California from my business trip to Spain where I was representing several clients with a couple of real estate and business deals. If you feel that that the banks are tight here with their lending’s requirements wait until you go to Europe. Just being a good and experienced negotiator or problem solver would not be enough. With the economy being what it is it today it will take much more than that. Creativity and being resourceful along with having the right team and the needed local contacts is imperative in making it possible to successfully close the deal. The old school way of doing business as usual has gone and the ones who can make it happen are the ones who adjust to this new business environment. It always amazes me the stubbornness from some to not to be willing to recognize and accept that new rules apply. Those who do are a step ahead of the rest and are getting results.
The business scenario in Europe is shaken and divided. The economic crisis in Greece has brought down a government, unleashed increasing social unrest and threatened the European recovery. The people of Greece have elected Antonis Samaras as the new prime minister who supports the Greeks bailout. Although many European leaders have expressed their support and faith in the new government, investors are not sharing their optimism until a plan has been implemented for a better fix to the euro crisis. There is also a concern of neighboring economies, in particularly Spain and Italy, which both have high levels of debt that need to be refinanced by selling government bonds. The new prime minister of Greece is facing needed implementation of far-reaching economic and fiscal reform, and it’s uncertain of what the final outcome will be. A Greek exit from the euro would distress global markets leading to further equity market weakness we may expect and at least a 5%-10% US dollar gain against most G10 currencies.
However it seems to be very unlikely that Spain or Italy would follow since it would destroy the euro and European leaders are determined to keep a controlling government in Brussels which controls the euro and avoid their members to return to their own currencies which they then could manipulate. Ultimately we can expect that the Spanish real estate market will turn around and that values will climb again. It will not happen overnight and it may take a couple of years but undoubtedly the demand for Spanish real estate will grow since Spain represents Europe’s paradise for vacation and retirement.
In the mean time back home, due to the Greek uncertainty, low prices, and attractive exchange rates, foreign investments continue to climb in the US market. International buyers continue to identify the U.S. as a desirable place to own real estate, business and make a profitable investment. These are not all corporate investors and some of them are also seeking residence if they invest at least $1 million in a new or recently created business, or $500,000 for businesses in rural or high-unemployment areas. Expectations are that we will continue to see an increase of foreign investors in the US real estate and business market which is welcome in helping lower the unemployment rate as long as banks are willing to start doing what they are supposed to do; lend money.
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